16 June 2010, Volume 26 Issue 3
    

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    学术论文
  • Zhang Liangyong,Dong Xiaofang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 225-233.
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    The sign test based on ranked set sampling
    is proposed for testing hypotheses concerning the quantiles of a
    population characteristic. Both balance and selective designs are
    considered and the relative performance of different designs is
    assessed in terms of Pitman's asymptotic relative efficiency. For
    each quantile, the sampling allocation that maximizes the efficacy
    of sign statistic is identified and shown to not depend on the
    population distribution.

  • Su Yan,Yang Zhenghai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 234-244.
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    The $\chi^{2}$ conditional test for
    multivariate normality is suggested. The transformed sample
    $\mathbf{Y}_{d}=R\mathbf{V}_{d}$ from a $d$-variate normal
    distribution has a symmetric multivariate Pearson type II
    distribution, the result that $R^{2}$ has a beta distribution is
    proved, the asymptotic Chi squared distribution of the statistic
    $\chi^{2}$ based on beta distribution and sphere uniform
    distribution is obtained. The Monte Carlo power study for
    multivariate normality suggests that our test is a powerful
    competitor to existing tests. The goodness-of-fit for multivariate
    normality of iris data is analyzed.

  • Yan Rongfang,Zhang Juan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 245-254.
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    In this paper, a new class of distributions,
    namely asymmetric Marshall-Olkin Laplace (AMOL) distribution, is
    introduced, some properties and numerical characteristics of AMOL
    are obtained, and a necessary and sufficient of autoregressive model
    with AMOL as marginal distribution is derived.

  • Huang Xudong,Xu Song
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 255-262.
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    The purpose of this paper is to propose
    a new weak dependence coefficient between two random variables under
    integral probability metric. We show that our coefficient may be
    also used to obtain covariance inequality and strong law of large
    numbers, and we can further investigate moment inequalities for
    associated r.v.s..

  • Li Ping
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 263-269.
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    In this paper, under a general loss function
    $\psi(y-f(x))$, when $\psi(z)$ is a continuous function, error
    estimation of regression problem is discussed.

  • Xia Dengfeng,Fei Weiyin,Liu Hongjian
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 270-276.
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    This paper, adopting the recursive multiple-priors
    utility with fluctuated discounting rate, studies the optimal
    consumption and portfolio choice in a Merton-style model with
    anticipation when there is a difference between ambiguity and risk.
    In the case of a power utility function, the paper characterizes the
    optimal investment which is affected by both ambiguity and
    anticipation. The optimal portfolio is derived in terms of backward
    stochastic differential equation and Malliavin derivatives.

  • Dong Yan,Xu Xingzhong
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 277-286.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Based on type II censored data, generalized
    lower confidence limit is constructed by two different procedures
    for the reliability life of a left truncated two-parameter
    exponential distribution, using the concept of generalized pivotal
    quantity and generalized confidence interval due to Weerahandi. One
    procedure is to define the restricted generalized lower confidence
    limit for the reliability life of a left truncated two-parameter
    exponential distribution using the generalized lower confidence
    limit constructed in the case that the location parameter is not
    restricted. The other is to find the conditional generalized lower
    confidence limit for the reliability life based on the conditional
    distribution of generalized pivotal quantity. We investigate the
    properties of the two lower confidence limits respectively and
    present simple numerical calculation procedures. Simulation study
    showns that restricted generalized lower confidence limit gives good
    coverage probability, coverage probability of conditional
    generalized lower confidence limit is related to the values of the
    parameters, but it's mean is bigger and it's variance is smaller in
    some cases compared with the restricted generalized lower confidence
    limit.

  • Zhang Xinyu
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 287-298.
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    By use of maximum likelihood ratio means,
    we present in this paper a Wilks test rule of each fixed effects in
    the equilibrium design and multiple-way classification model with
    repeated survey; then deduce a means to test each fixed effects
    simultaneously. At last, we deduce the function relation between
    non-central parameter and original parameter to reflected efficiency
    of this test rule.

  • Zong Xuping
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 299-308.
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    This paper proposes a differential
    geometric framework for nonlinear models for Failure Time Data. The
    framework may be regarded as an extension of that presented by Bates
    \& Wates for nonlinear regression models. As an application, we use
    this geometric framework to derive three kinds of improved
    approximate confidence regions for parameter and subset parameter in
    terms of curvatures. Several results such as Bates and Wates (1980),
    Hamilton (1986) and Wei (1998) are extended to our models.

  • CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 309-322.
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    In this paper an insurer is assumed to invest his
    reserve in a financial market, which consists of a risky asset and a
    risk-free asset. The random impulsive model for stock prices is used
    to depict the price of risky security. A controlled diffusion risk
    process is presented to describe such a dynamic setting. Explicit
    and closed-form solutions for the optimal dynamic choice are derived
    when excess-of-loss or proportional reinsurance is incorporated with
    an investment under the optimization criteria of maximizing the
    expectation of quadratic utility of the terminal wealth at a fixed
    terminal time, respectively. Based on the explicit solutions, the
    influence of the dependence between the finance risk and insurance
    risk on the optimal dynamic choice is illustrated numerically.

  • Zhang Tao,Zhu Zhongyi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(3): 323-335.
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    Longitudinal data arises when subjects are
    followed over a period time. In this paper, we applied block
    empirical likelihood in partially linear regression model accounting
    for the within-subject correlation. For any working covariance
    matrix, an empirical log-likelihood ratio for the parametric
    components, which are of primary interest, is proposed, and the
    nonparametric version of the Wilk's theorem is derived. Simulations
    show that performance can be substantially improved by correctly
    specifying the correlation structure. At last, we illustrate the
    proposed method by analyzing an example in epidemiology.