10 July 2010, Volume 26 Issue 4
    

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  • Zhang Hui,Zhu Qingfeng,Lai Xiang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 337-346.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, the theory of Malliavin
    derivative has been applied to explore the solution $(y,z)$ of
    BSDEs. First a method of comparing part $z$ has been got via the
    Malliavin derivative of  part $y$. As an application of this method,
    comonotonic theorems of BSDEs, which consist of stochastic
    generators, have been obtained.

  • Zhou Yong,Wu Shujin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 347-356.
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    Stochastic differential equations with
    random impulses should have extensive applications. In this paper,
    the existence and uniqueness in mean square of solutions to these
    equations are considered. To achieve the desired results, many
    techniques are used, such as Pearson iteration, the Cauchy-Schwarz
    inequality, Lipschitz conditions, Ito isometry, martingale
    inequality and some stochastic analysis.

  • Tang Xiaosi,Wu Chaobiao
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 357-366.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Phylogenetics studies the evolutionary relationships
    between species. The nucleotide substitution models in phylogenetics
    usually assume that evolutions of sequences have neither missing nor
    censored, which is hard to be satisfied in fact. Facing to the fact
    above, we use an EM algorithm to estimate parameters, to construct a
    fine phylogenetic tree of the sequences which have the same length
    after deletions and insertions. Main points of this paper is to
    estimate best parameters of DNA sequences having censored data for
    Jukes-Cantor Model and Kimura Model under the conditions of rooted
    tree and unrooted tree respectively.

  • Wen Yangjun,Zhu Daoyuan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 367-383.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Multivariate $t$ distributions belong to
    elliptically contoured distributions. However, they are symmetric.
    In many fields such as economics, psychology and sociology,
    sometimes error structures in a regression type models no longer
    satisfy symmetric property. Generally there is a presence of high
    skewness. Therefore, multivariate skew elliptical distributions have
    been developed. In this paper, properties about known family of
    multivariate skew $t$ distributions are stressed. Linear
    transformations, marginal and conditional density are given. Also
    moments are derived.

  • Zhang Shibin,Zhang Xinsheng
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 384-398.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type, driven
    by positive compound Poisson processes, are considered in this
    paper. We are interested in parametric estimation of those processes
    based on discrete observations. The parameter of the stationary
    distribution is estimated by the method of moments, and a consistent
    and asymptotically normal estimator is provided. The theoretical
    study is also generalized to the superposition case.}
    \newcommand{\fundinfo}{The research is supported by the National Natural
    Science Foundation of China (10901100) and the Science \& Technology
    Program of Shanghai Maritime University (20100135).

     

  • Yang Guiyuan,Liu Dezhi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 399-410.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In the paper, a global solution is guaranteed
    under local Lipschitz condition and some additional conditions
    without linear growth condition. Later, the convergence in
    probability of approximate solutions is investigated on the neutral
    stochastic differential delay equations with Poisson jumps and
    Markovian switching, instead of $L^{2}$. Some known results are
    generalized and improved.

  • Liu Qiang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 411-418.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we consider the semiparametric
    mixed-effects model under longitudinal data. We use kernel weight
    function method and moment method to construct the estimators of
    fixed effects and individual effects. Asymptotic normality of the
    estimators are investigated, and the confidence region of the
    estimators of fixed effects is constructed. The simulations are
    reported for illustration, and the results are encouraging.

  • Deng Wengli,Fu Ting
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 419-426.
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    The estimator of expectation of interval
    censored data can be established by means of unbiased
    transformations. In this paper, we go further to study the variances
    of these estimators. In interval-censored Case 1 and
    interval-censored Case 2, when the tail of the density function of
    the censoring variable is thicker than that of the density function
    of the censored variable to some extent, the estimators with finite
    variance can be easily obtained.

  • Feng Sanying,Niu Huifang,Xue Liugen
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 427-436.
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    In this paper, we consider the varying-coefficient
    errors-in-variables regression model. The local bias-corrected
    empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the unknown coefficient
    function is proposed. It is shown that the proposed statistic has
    the asymptotic chi-square distribution under some suitable
    conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the pointwise
    confidence regions of the coefficient functions. A simulation study
    is carried out to compare the performance of the empirical
    likelihood and the normal approximation method based on the
    pointwise confidence regions.

  • Luo Chun,Chen Xueping,Zhang Yingshan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2010, 26(4): 437-442.
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    This paper discusses the prediction
    of time series. Without the assumptions on the traditional
    time series models, this paper considers all the indicators
    by balancing different types of forecasting models, so that
    the turning point in the time series can be found. An example
    of stock time series is given to show the effectiveness of
    the predictive model provided.