05 July 2012, Volume 28 Issue 3
    

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  • Cheng Jing, Yue Rongxian
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 225-234.
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    This paper considers optimal designs based
    on A-, Ds-, I- and D-optimality criteria for bivariate random
    coefficient regression models. It is shown that the search of
    optimal designs could be confined at extreme settings of the design
    region and optimal approximate designs are obtained in the paper.

  • Ding Fangqing, Qian Linyi, Yang Yasong
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 235-243.
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    The future lifetimes of involved insured
    persons in the multiple-life model are always assumed to be
    independent in almost all actuarial textbooks. In this paper we
    consider the two-life model and assume that the future lifetimes are
    positively dependent. We use PQD (positively quadrant dependent) to
    describe such dependence, and give a easy method to construct the
    joint-life status life table.

  • Liu Zhi, Bai Xuepeng
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 244-262.
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    In this paper we will discuss the inf-convolution
    problems in the framework of multi-dimensional G-distributed
    expectation, and we present the relationship between inf-convolution
    of multi-dimensional G-distributed expectations and the
    inf-convolution of drivers G. Moreover, we also study the continuity
    and dynamical properties of this problem.

  • Hu Fengqing, Wang Guojing
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 263-269.
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    For a reduced form model of credit risk,
    we use Cox process whose intensity process is a subordinator process
    to define the default time of the company. We derive closed forms of
    the distribution of the company's default time. We also derive the
    fair price of the defaultable zero coupon bond and the credit spread
    of the credit default swaps.

  • He Xiaoxia, Yao Chun, Hu Yijun
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 270-276.
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    In this paper, we consider a discrete
    time risk process with random interest force. With the assumption
    that the interest rate process behaves as a Markov chain, we obtain
    the recursive equations and integral equations for finite and
    ultimate ruin probabilities, and Lundberg inequalities for the
    ultimate ruin probabilities are also provided.

  • He Jianjun,Xie Tingfan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 277-284.
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    Letbe a sequence
    of i.i.d. Gaussian random variables with zero mean and finite
    variance, and set ,
    .
    In this paper, we prove that there exists positive constants  and ,
    for small enough $\epsilon>0$, it follows that
    , it follows that
    .

  • Ni Yanfeng, Zhu Zhongyi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 285-300.
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    For the analysis of partial linear model
    with longitudinal data, the general procedure is to fit the
    nonparametric part with kernel or spline estimation, followed by
    generalized linear model estimating frame. In this paper, we fit the
    nonparametric part with P-spline, and estimate the parametrical and
    nonparametric part with different Generalized method of moments
    estimation for different moment conditions, implemented by the proof
    of the asymptotical properties for the estimator, which is also been
    proved by simulation and illustrative example, from which we can
    also find out that different penalized general method of moments
    estimations for different moment conditions perform more
    efficiently.

  • Chang Hao,Chang Kai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 301-310.
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    This paper is concerned with a portfolio
    selection problem with stochastic interest rates and assumes that
    interest rate is driven by the Ho-Lee model and the Vasicek model
    respectively. We apply dynamic programming principle to derive the
    HJB equation and use Legendre transform to obtain the dual one.
    Quadratic utility function is taken for our analysis. The
    closed-form solutions to the optimal investment strategy are derived
    by applying variable change technique.

  • Shi Hongxing
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 311-318.
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    In this paper, we consider an extension of
    semiparametric linear mixed-effect model to a class of longitudinal
    data or clustered data with zero-inflation and propose a novel
    semiparametric mixed model. Based on the maximum penalized
    likelihood estimation and EM algorithm, we give a method for our
    proposed model which may estimate both of the parameters and
    nonparameters simultaneously. In the method, we use GCV to choose
    the smoothing parameter.Finally, we study a simulation analysis and
    one real data set to illustrate the proposed method.

  • Zhang Jun
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(3): 319-330.
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    We consider partially linear models in which
    the linear covariate contains measurement errors, but instead an
    observed surrogate that is linearly related to the unobserved
    covariate. Moreover, the dimension of unobserved covariate diverges
    with the sample size. We propose an estimation procedure and
    establish the consistency and asymptotic normality property of
    estimate. The rate of the divergent dimension is also investigated.
    A simulation study and a real data are carried out to illustrate the
    usefulness of the proposed method.