26 October 2012, Volume 28 Issue 5
    

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  • Song Li, Liu Qian
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 449-456.
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    In this note, we consider a class of
    backward stochastic differential equations with non-uniformly
    Lipschitz coefficients. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the
     solutions with 1<p.

  • Chang Hao, Rong Ximin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 457-470.
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    In this paper we use stochastic optimal
    control theory to investigate a dynamic portfolio selection problem
    with liability process, in which the liability process is assumed to
    be a geometric Brownian motion and completely correlated with stock
    prices. We apply dynamic programming principle to obtain
    Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations for the value function and
    systematically study the optimal investment strategies for power
    utility, exponential utility and logarithm utility. Firstly, the
    explicit expressions of the optimal portfolios for power utility and
    exponential utility are obtained by applying variable change
    technique to solve corresponding HJB equations. Secondly, we apply
    Legendre transform and dual approach to derive the optimal portfolio
    for logarithm utility. Finally, numerical examples are given to
    illustrate the results obtained and analyze the effects of the
    market parameters on the optimal portfolios.

  • Zhang Zhihua, Chen Pingyan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 471-478.
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    In this paper, the authors discuss the moment
    complete convergence for weighted sums of -mixing random
    variables, and obtains the sufficient condition for moment complete
    convergence of -mixing sequence under some mixing rate
    condition, which generalize the result of moment complete
    convergence for weighted sums of i.i.d. random variables to
    -mixing random variables.

  • Wu Yongfeng, Shen Guangjun
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 479-488.
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    Under the condition of h-integrability
    with respect to an array of weights, the moment convergence for
    weighted sums of pairwise negative quadrant dependent random
    variables is studied. The authors obtain a new result, and solve the
    open problem in Sung et al. ,(2008) and improve the corresponding
    theorem of Cabrera and Volodin (2005).

  • Ma Lei, Chen Ping
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 489-498.
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    This paper studies non-parametric kernel
    estimates of the time-dependent diffusion equation based on the
    observations of discrete samples. We construct local kernel
    estimation of the time-dependent diffusion coefficient using
    "sectional" method. Furthermore we proved the strong consistency
    of the estimator.

  • Lu Zhiping, Tao Qinying
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 499-510.
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    Stationary long memory process has been
    widely studied in the literature. In this article, we considered the
    locally stationary long memory process with time-varying memory
    parameter. A new wavelet-based algorithm was developed using
    log-linear relationship between the wavelet coefficient variance and
    the scaling parameter. The consistency and the finite sample
    behavior of the estimator have also been studied, which provide a
    good reference for the practitioner and researchers. The new
    algorithm has also been applied to the YEN/USD exchange rate series,
    which leads to some interesting results.

  • Liu Ruiyin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 511-519.
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    In some biological experiments, it is
    quite common that laboratory subjects may be different in their
    patterns of susceptibility to a treatment. We need to determine the
    different patterns of susceptibility. In this paper we model the
    number of susceptibility's patterns and the parameters jointly, and
    base inference about these quantities on their posterior
    probabilities, making use of reversible jump Markov chain Monte
    Carlo methods that are capable of jumping between the parameter
    subspaces corresponding to different numbers of components in the
    mixture. For convenience, we always assume different patterns of
    susceptibility have common variances. The paper apply the
    methodology to the analysis of univariate normal mixtures with
    different variances. The practical significance of the proposed
    method is illustrated with a dose-response data set.

  • Luo Youxi, Tian Maozai, Li Hanfang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 520-534.
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    The robustness of regression coefficient
    estimator is a hot topic in regression analysis all the while. Since
    the response observations are not independent, it is extraordinarily
    difficult to study this problem for random effects growth curve
    models, especially when the design matrix is non-full of rank. The
    paper not only gives the necessary and sufficient conditions under
    which the generalized least square estimate is identical to the the
    best linear unbiased estimate when error covariance matrix is an
    arbitrary positive definite matrix, but also obtains a concise
    condition under which the generalized least square estimate is
    identical to the maximum likelihood estimate when the design matrix
    is full or non-full of rank respectively. In addition, by using of
    the obtained results, we get some corollaries for the the
    generalized least square estimate be equal to the maximum likelihood
    estimate under several common error covariance matrix assumptions.
    Illustrative examples for the case that the design matrix is full or
    non-full of rank are also given.

  • Wei Jiaqin, Qiu Chunjuan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 535-550.
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    In this paper, we consider the compound
    Poisson surplus model with interest, liquid reserves and a constant
    dividend barrier. When the surplus of an insurer is below a fixed
    level, the surplus is kept as liquid reserves, which does not earn
    interest. When the surplus attains the level, the surplus will
    receive interest at a constant rate. When the surplus hits another
    fixed higher lever, the excess of the surplus over this higher level
    will be distributed to the shareholders as dividends. We derive a
    system of integro-differential equations for the Gerber-Shiu
    discounted penalty function and obtain the solutions to these
    integro-differential equations. In the case where the claim sizes
    are exponential distributed, we get the exact solutions of zero
    discounted Gerber-Shiu function. We also get the
    integro-differential equation for the expectation of the discounted
    dividends until ruin which is the key to discuss the optimal
    dividend barrier. And we give the exact solution in the special case
    with exponential claim sizes.

  • Shi Hongxing
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2012, 28(5): 551-560.
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    Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression
    model is a popular tool for analyzing count data with excess zeros.
    In this paper, a flexible hierarchical ZIP regression model is
    proposed to handle with such data with cluster and Bayesian approach
    is develop. A Gibbs sampler is employed to produce the Bayesian
    estimate, a goodness-of-fit and a Bayesian information criterion
    (BIC) are used for model comparison and selection. Finally, an
    application of data from a ship damage incident study illustrates
    the proposed method.