26 April 2013, Volume 29 Issue 2
    

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  • Zhang Liangyong,Dong Xiaofang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 113-120.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    This paper considers Wilcoxon signed rank
    test based on the median ranked set sample. For any fixed set size
    in the proposed sampling the asymptotic distribution-free of the
    test statistic is established. Then, it is proofed analytically the
    Pitman efficacy of the Wilcoxon signed rank test under the median
    ranked set sampling is not only higher than that under the simple
    random sampling but also superior to the sign test under the median
    ranked set sampling.

  • Chen Haiqing,Cheng Weihu
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 121-135.
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    Traditional estimations of parameters of
    the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) are generally constrained
    by the shape parameter of GPD. Such as: the method-of-moments (MOM),
    the probability-weighted moments (PWM), L-moments (LM), the maximum
    likelihood estimation (MLE) and so on. In this paper we use the fact
    that GPD can be transformed into the exponential distribution and
    use the results of parameters estimation for the exponential
    distribution, than we propose parameters estimators of the
    two-parameter or three-parameter GPD by the least squares method.
    Some asymptotic results are provided and the proposed method not
    constrained by the shape parameter of GPD. A simulation study is
    carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed method and
    to compare them with other methods suggested in this paper. The
    simulation results indicate that the proposed method performs better
    than others in some common situation.

  • Chen Shumin,He Chunxiong
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 136-150.
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    In this paper, we study the optimal dividend
    problem in a dual risk model, which might be appropriate for
    companies that have fixed expenses and occasional profits. Assuming
    that dividend payments are subject to both proportional and fixed
    transaction costs, our object is to maximize the expected present
    value of dividend payments until ruin, which is defined as the first
    time the company's surplus becomes negative. This optimization
    problem is formulated as a stochastic impulse control problem. By
    solving the corresponding quasi-variational inequality (QVI), we
    obtain the analytical solutions of the value function and its
    corresponding optimal dividend strategy when jump sizes are
    exponentially distributed.

  • Li Yueling, Lv Hongfeng, Sun Xiaobin, Xie Yingchao
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 151-166.
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    In this paper, some results on the pathwise
    exponential stability are established for the weak solutions of
    stochastic 2D Navier-Stokes equation driven by noise. Also,
    some results and comments concerning the stabilizability and
    stabilization of these equations are stated.

  • Yang Yiping, Li Jia
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 167-178.
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    Varying coefficient EV models with
    longitudinal data are considered. The local bias-corrected kernel
    estimators for the unknown coefficient functions are proposed. It is
    shown that the proposed estimators are asymptotically normal under
    some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the
    pointwise confidence regions of the coefficient functions. The
    finite-sample properties of the proposed procedures are studied
    through a simulation study.

  • Wang Bo, Song Ruili
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 179-187.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we consider the option
    pricing problem when the risky underlying assets are driven by
    Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion (GBM). That is, the
    market parameters, for instance, the market interest rate, the
    appreciation rate and the volatility of the risky asset, depend on
    unobservable states of the economy which are modeled by a
    continuous-time hidden Markov chain. The market described by the
    Markov-modulated GBM model is incomplete in general, and, hence, the
    martingale measure is not unique. We adopt the minimal relative
    entropy martingale measure (MEMM) for the Markov-modulated GBM model
    as the suitable martingale measure and we obtain the MEMM for the
    market in general sense.

  • Cao Yusong
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 188-200.
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    We achieves some results of precise asymptotic
    in the complete moment convergence of NA random variables.

  • Hu Sigui
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 201-212.
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    This paper proposes a new sampling plan,
    the sample space ordering method, to compute the optimum truncated
    sequential test in order to overcome the disadvantages of the widely
    use sequential sampling methods that IEC1123 has presented. The main
    ideal of this new method is to establish an order at the truncated
    sequential sample space, and optimize point by point to arrive the
    optimal truncated sequential test. The paper presents in detail how
    to realize the new plan, and shows that this new plan has most
    powerful to control the sample number and least average sample
    number comparing with the methods which IEC1123 and SMT have
    proposed.

  • Guan Qiang, Tang Yincai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(2): 213-224.
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    In this paper, optimal constant-stress
    accelerated degradation test plans are developed under the
    assumption that the degradation characteristic follows a Gamma
    processes. The test stress levels and the proportion of units
    allocated to each stress level are determined by D-criterion and
    V-criterion. The general equivalence theorem (GET) is used to
    verify that the optimized test plans are globally optimum. In
    addition, compromise test plans are also studied. Finally, an
    example is provided to illustrate the proposed method and a
    sensitivity analysis is conducted to investigate the robustness of
    optimal plans.