30 August 2013, Volume 29 Issue 4
    

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  • Huang Huilin, Yang Weiguo, Shi Zhiyan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 337-347.
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    In this paper, we prove a new central
    limit theorem for nonhomogeneous Markov chain by using the
    martingale central limit theorem under the condition of convergence
    of transition probability matrices for nonhomogeneous Markov chain
    in Cesaro sense, which can not be implied by Dobrushin's work.

  • Wang Chengyong, Ai Chunrong
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 348-362.
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    In this paper, we generalize the
    semiparametric smooth transition regression model proposed by Wang
    (2012a), to adapt for the strictly stationary strong mixing data and
    strong mixing data with deterministic trends. The unknown bounded
    smooth function embedded in the smooth transition function is
    estimated by series estimator, the consistency and asymptotic
    normality properties of estimators are proved employing nonlinear
    least square regression theory and series estimator approach.
    Variance matrix estimation and hypothesis testing problems are also
    discussed based on estimated standard errors. The new model is then
    used to study the annually inflation rates of China.

  • Zheng Guangyu, Shi Yimin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 363-380.
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    Based on adaptive type-II progressive
    hybrid censored data statistical analysis for constant-stress
    accelerated life test (CS-ALT) with products' lifetime following
    two-parameter generalized exponential (GE) distribution is
    investigated. The estimates of the unknown parameters and the
    reliability function are obtained through a new method combining the
    EM algorithm and the least square method. The observed Fisher
    information matrix is achieved with missing information principle,
    and the asymptotic unbiased estimate (AUE) of the scale parameter is
    also obtained. Confidence intervals (CIs) for the parameters are
    derived using asymptotic normality of the estimators and the
    percentile bootstrap (Boot-p) method. Finally, Monte Carlo
    simulation study is carried out to investigate the precision of the
    point estimates and interval estimates, respectively. It is shown
    that the AUE of the scale parameter is better than the corresponding
    two-step estimation, and the Boot-p CIs are more accurate than the
    corresponding asymptotic CIs.

  • Liu Jicai, Zhang Riquan, Liu Huanbin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 381-391.
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    In many biomedical and engineering
    studies, recurrent event data and gap times between successive
    events are common and often more than one type of recurrent events
    is of interest. It is well known that the proportional hazards model
    may not be appropriate for fitting survival times in some settings.
    In the paper, we consider an additive hazards model for multiple
    type recurrent gap times data to assess the effect of covariates.
    For inferences about regression coefficients and baseline cumulative
    hazard functions, an estimating equation approach is developed.
    Furthermore, we establish asymptotic properties of the proposed
    estimators.

  • Wang Jixia, Xiao Qingxian
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 392-404.
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    This paper studies the local linear
    estimations of the time-varying parameters for time-inhomogeneous
    diffusion models. Based on discretely observed sample of
    time-inhomogeneous diffusion models, the local linear estimations of
    the drift parameters are proposed and their standard errors are
    discussed. Considering the volatility parameter being positive, we
    obtain the kernel weighted estimation of the diffusion parameter by
    using locally log-linear fitting, and discuss asymptotic bias,
    asymptotic variance and asymptotic normal distribution of volatility
    function. It is shown that the local estimations proposed perform
    well through simulation studies.

  • Ding Fangqing, Jiao Xianfa, Xu Qimin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 405-413.
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    This paper deals with asymptotical
    stability in probability in the large for stochastic bilinear
    systems. Some new criteria for asymptotical stability of such
    systems have been established in the inequality of mathematic
    expectation. A sufficient condition for bilinear stochastic jump
    systems to be asymptotically stable in probability in the large in
    Markovian switching laws is derived in a couple of Riccati-like
    inequalities by introducing a nonlinear state feedback controller.
    An illustrative example shows the effectiveness of the method.

  • Zhou Xiaodong, Yue Rongxian
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 414-432.
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    The paper investigates the problem of
    optimal balanced designs in general linear regression models with
    mixed effects. The interest lies in estimating fixed effects, random
    effects and prediction of the future observation of an individual,
    respectively. By using the de la Garaz phenomenon and Loewner order
    domination, the dimension of determining the optimal designs are
    reduced. The optimal designs are derived by using analytical or
    numerical methods, and their optimalities are verified through the
    general equivalence theorems.

  • Zhang Yu, Xia Chuanxiao, Zeng Linrui
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2013, 29(4): 433-442.
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    The varying-coefficient single-index
    models (VCSIM) have been applied in many fields since they combine
    the advantages of single-index models and varying-coefficient
    models. In this paper, their estimation method is proposed based on
    B-spline approximation technique and two calculation methods can be
    used. The first one is to directly calculate the parametric and
    nonparametric parts simultaneously by Newton-Raphson iteration
    algorithm. The second one is to calculate the two parts by profile
    method individually. We suggest that the second method is for our
    preference when the large amount of parameters are involved,
    otherwise the first method will be more convenient. Two simulated
    examples are given to illustrate the performances of the proposed
    estimation methodologies and calculation procedures.