31 October 2015, Volume 31 Issue 5
    

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  • Wu Qingyu, Sun Shiliang, Huang Xiaoqian
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 449-456.
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    This paper extends a class of discount problem of singular
    stochastic control with stopping time. We extend the state process and cost function
    to general case. By stochastic analysis and optimal control theory, the "fail-stop"
    control strategy is its optimal control. The conditions of the "fail-stop" strategy
    and optimal control function and control method are given. The conclusion in this
    paper has a fairly deep application.

  • Li Xinpeng, Wu Lijun
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 457-468.
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    In classical credibility theory, the claim amounts of different
    insurance policies in a portfolio are assumed to be independent and the premiums are derived
    under squared-error loss function. Wen et al. (2012) studied the credibility models with a
    dependence structure among the claim amounts of one insurance policy that is called time
    changeable effects and obtained the credibility formula. In this paper, we generalized this
    dependence structure called time changeable effects to the claim amounts of different
    insurance policies in a portfolio. Credibility premiums are obtained for Buhlmann and
    Buhlmann-Straub credibility models with dependence structure under balanced loss function.

  • Zhang Hua
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 469-482.
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    In this paper, we present a logarithm representation of operator
    scaling stable random fields which in particular contains a class of Log-fractional stable
    motion , and investigate the related sample paths regularity.

  • Song Ruili, Wang Bo
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 483-492.
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    We consider a Markov switching exponential Levy model in which the
    underlying economy switches between a finite number of states. The switching is modeled by a
    hidden Markov chain. We explore the link between options prices in Markov switching exponential
    Levy models and the related partial integro-differential equations in the case of European
    options.

  • Cheng Lijuan, Wang Yingzhe
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 493-502.
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    Algebraic convergence in -sense is studied for the reflecting
    diffusion processes on noncompact manifold with non-convex boundary. A series of sufficient
    and necessary conditions for the algebraic convergence are presented.

  • Wu Chuanju, Wang Xiaoguang, He Xiaoxia, Liu Luqin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 503-513.
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    The paper considers a risk model with two dependent classes of
    insurance business. In this model, the two claim number processes are partly sparsely
    correlated through an Erlang(2) process. By introducing an auxiliary model, we obtain the
    integral equations for ultimate ruin probabilities, and discuss the asymptotic property of
    ruin probabilities by renewal approach. We also get the linear differential equations of
    ruin probabilities of the model and the corresponding auxiliary model when claims follow
    the exponential distributions, and show how solves the linear differential equations by a
    specific example.

  • Zeng Xiaofeng, Chen Chuanzhong, Li Ni
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 514-526.
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    Recurrent event data usually occur in long-term studies which concern
    recurrence rates of the disease. In studies of medical sciences, patients who have infected
    with the disease, like cancer, were conventionally regarded as impossible to be cured. However,
    with the development of medical sciences, recently those patients were found to be possibly
    recovered from the disease. The recurrence rate of the events, which is of primary interest,
    may be affected by the cure rate that may exist. Therefore, we proposed semiparametric
    statistical analysis for recurrent event data with subjects possibly being cured. In our
    approach, we present a proportional rate model for recurrence rate with the cure rate adjusted
    through a Logistic regression model, and develop some estimating equations for estimation of
    the regression parameters, with their large sample properties, including consistency and
    asymptotic normality established. Numerical studies under different settings were conducted
    for assessing the proposed methodology and the results suggest that they work well for
    practical situations. The approach is applied to a bladder cancer dataset which motivated our
    study.

  • He Ping
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 527-538.
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    In this paper we describe the excursions from a set explicitly for
    recurrent Markov chain with discrete time. A new exit system is presented through using a
    law conditioned by specifying the starting point and ending point of excursions. In a simple
    case, we verify that our conditioned excursion law is a discrete approximation for that of
    a diffusion.

  • Fang Longxiang, Yang Fang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 539-546.
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    Let ,
    be all independent PRHR variables. Firstly, we show that implies . Secondly, we consider the comparison of
    convolutions of independent heterogeneous PRHR variables with respect to the usual stochastic
    ordering. Suppose  and , we prove that  implies ,
    for all . The results established here strengthen some of the results known in
    the literature.

  • Shen Guangjun, Li Mengyu
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(5): 547-560.
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    Let  be two independent,
    -dimensional sub-fractional Brownian motions with respective indices .
    Assume . Our principal results are the necessary and sufficient condition for the
    existence and smoothness of the collision local time and the intersection local time of
     and  through chaos expansion and elementary inequalities.