31 December 2015, Volume 31 Issue 6
    

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  • Shi Haifang, Wang Dehui
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(6): 561-571.
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    A new risk model is constructed, where the total number of claims
    satisfies the geometric first-order integer-valued autoregressive process. Moreover, we
    obtain the equation of the adjustment coefficient. We discuss the relationships among the
    dependence on the number of claims in each period, the adjustment coefficient, and ruin
    probability by numerical simulations. The results show that, with the increase of the
    dependence on the number of claims in each period, the adjustment coefficient decrease and
    ruin probability increase gradually.

  • Cui Ruwei, Jiang Hui
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(6): 572-581.
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    In this article, using the limit theory of martingales, we study the
    moderate deviation for maximum likelihood estimator of unknown parameter in the stochastic
    partial differential equation driven by additive fractional Brownian motion with Hurst
    parameter , and the rate function can be calculated. Moreover, we apply our
    main result to several examples.

  • Zhang Weiping, Liu Yuting, Li Ruichao
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(6): 582-595.
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    In this paper, we propose a joint mean-variance-correlation modeling
    approach for longitudinal studies. By applying partial autocorrelations, we obtain an
    unconstrained parametrization for the correlation matrix that automatically guarantees its
    positive definiteness, and develop a regression approach to model the correlation matrix
    of the longitudinal measurements by exploiting the parametrization. The proposed modeling
    framework is parsimonious, interpretable, and flexible for analyzing longitudinal data. Real
    data example and simulation support the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

  • Shinichi Kotani
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(6): 596-661.
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    This article provides the readers with an introduction to the
    spectral theory of ergodic one dimensional Schrodinger operators. The theorems
    developed by the author are mainly discussed and their proofs are given in detail.

  • CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2015, 31(6): 669-672.
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