30 April 2016, Volume 32 Issue 2
    

  • Select all
    |
    article
  • TANG Fengqin, BAI Jianming
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 111-120.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Let be a sequence of real-valued random
    variables and  be other  random variables which are independent
    of the form sequence. Suppose that  are pairwise generalized negatively
    orthant dependent with heavy tails under the condition that  are
    independent or associated, some asymptotic formulas are established.

  • WANG Yashi, WANG Xuanhe, WANG Ziyue
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 121-131.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we estimate parameters of gamma life distribution
    and normal life distribution by EM algorithm based on Type-II hybrid censored data. The
    covariance matrices are derived as well. Some numerical examples are also presented for
    illustration.

  • SHEN Xindi, DING Bangjun
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 132-146.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we concern with the estimation problem for the Pareto
    distribution based on progressive Type-II interval censoring with random removals. We discuss
    the maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters. Then, we show the consistency and
    asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimators based on progressive Type-II interval
    censored sample.

  • YANG Peng
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 147-156.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Under inflation influence, this paper investigate a stochastic
    differential game with reinsurance and investment. Insurance company chose a strategy
    to minimizing the variance of the final wealth, and the financial markets as a game
    ``virtual hand'' chosen a probability measure represents the economic ``environment''
    to maximize the variance of the final wealth. Through this double game between the
    insurance companies and the financial markets, get optimal portfolio strategies. When
    investing, we consider inflation, the method of dealing with inflation is: Firstly,
    the inflation is converted to the risky assets, and then constructs the wealth process.
    Through change the original based on the mean-variance criteria stochastic differential
    game into unrestricted cases, then application linear-quadratic control theory obtain
    optimal reinsurance strategy and investment strategy and optimal market strategy as well
    as the closed form expression of efficient frontier are obtained; finally get reinsurance
    strategy and optimal investment strategy and optimal market strategy as well as the
    closed form expression of efficient frontier for the original stochastic differential game.

  • XIA Yemao, LIU Yingan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 157-183.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    A Bayesian semiparametric procedure for confirmatory factor analysis
    model is proposed to address the heterogeneity of the multivariate responses. The approach
    relies on the use of a prior over the space of mixing distributions with finite components.
    Blocked Gibbs sampler is implemented to cope with the posterior analysis. For model comparison,
    the measure and Bayes factor are developed. A generalized weighted Chinese restaurant
    algorithm is suggested to compute the likelihood of data. Empirical results are presented to
    illustrate the effectiveness of the methodologies.

  • FAN Xiliang, LI Fang, ZHU Dongjin
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 184-200.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions
    for reflected backward stochastic differential equations driven by a
    Levy process, in which the reflecting barriers are just right
    continuous with left limits whose jumps are arbitrary. To derive the
    above results, the monotonic limit theorem of Backward SDE
    associated with Levy process is established.

  • YU Xueli, HAO Ruili
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2016, 32(2): 201-219.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Traditional claims reserve approaches are all based on aggregated
    data and usually produce inaccurate projections of the reserve because the aggregated data
    make a great loss of information contained in individual claims. Thus, the researcher in
    actuarial science developed the so-called individual claim models that are based on marked
    Poisson processes. However, due to the inappropriateness of Poisson distribution in
    modelling the claims distributions, the present paper propose marked Cox processes as
    reserve models. Compared with the aggregate claims models, the models proposed in the
    current paper take more sufficient use of information contained in data and can be expected
    to produce more accurate evaluations in claim loss reserving.