12 September 2017, Volume 33 Issue 4
    

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  • SONG Li, WU PanYu
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 331-339. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.001
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we will prove another Borel-Cantelli lemma for capacities induced by sublinear expectations.

  • DENG WenLi, CHENG HengXing, ZHANG RiQuan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 340-348. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2016.04.002
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    A cured model is a useful approach for analysing failure
    time data in which some subjects could eventually experience and others never
    experience the event of interest. All subjects in the test belong to one of the
    two groups: the susceptible group and the non-susceptible group. There has been
    considerable progress in the development of semi-parametric models for regression
    analysis of time-to-event data. However, most of the current work focuses on
    right-censored data, especially when the population contains a non-ignorable
    cured subgroup. In this paper, we propose a semi-parametric cure model for current
    status data. In general, treatments are developed to both increase the patients'
    chances of being cured and prolong the survival time among non-cured patients. A
    logistic regression model is proposed for whether the subject is in the susceptible
    group. An accelerated failure time regression model is proposed for the event
    time when the subject is in the non-susceptible group. An EM algorithm is used
    to maximize the log-likelihood of the observed data. Simulation results show that
    the proposed method can get efficient estimations.

  • LI Ting
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 349-368. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.003
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    The paper is concerned with the two-sample mean
    testing problem in high-dimension settings. We propose a composite Hotelling's
    T-square test, establish its asymptotical normality and study its local power.
    The finite-sample priority of the proposed test over existing high-dimensional
    tests is shown by simulations and illustrated by a real data-set analysis.

  • TIAN YuZhu, QIU XiaoPeng, TIAN MaoZai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 369-384. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.004
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    As a new reliability test plan, generalized progressive
    hybrid censoring can improve test efficiency by allowing experimenters to observe
    a pre-specified number of failure samples before the final termination point.
    Based on a class of widely used life distribution in life data analysis ---
    generalized exponential distribution, this paper discusses its parameters
    inference issue under generalized progressive hybrid censoring scheme. EM
    Algorithm is used to estimate parameters of the considered model. Simulation
    studies and a real-data analysis are carried out to illustrate the performance
    of finite sample for the proposed procedure.

  • LIANG Xue, DONG YingHui, CHEN Yang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 385-407. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.005
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    Credit valuation adjustment is the price adjustment
    of financial contract considering possible default of counterparty and it
    is an important way to measure counterparty risk. It is the key to establish
    a reasonable default dependence structure model. We introduce an economic
    state variable and shot noise processes in a Markov copula model and establish
    a regime switching Markov copula model with shot noise, where we can not
    only describe the impact of common economic conditions characteristics but
    also describe the credit name's characteristic. In this proposed model, we
    study martingale property of the model and the collateralized CVA of credit
    default swaps, and furthermore, we perfer some numerical calculations on
    the collateralized CVA and examine the impact of some model parameters on
    the CVA.

  • ZHANG Yan; YANG WeiGuo
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 408-416. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.006
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, we first study the strong law of large
    numbers for the frequencies of occurrence of random ordered couples of states
    for nonhomogeneous bifurcating Markov chains indexed by a binary tree. Then
    the strong law of large numbers are studied for functions of the nonhomogeneous
    bifurcating Markov chains indexed by a binary tree. As a corollary, we obtain
    the shannon-McMillan theorem for these Markov chains with finite state space.

  • ZHANG JingHua, XUE LiuGen
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 409-416. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.007
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    In this paper, the semiparametric generalized partially
    linear models (GPLMs) for longitudinal data is studied. We approximate the
    nonparametric function in the GPLMs by a regression spline, and use quadratic
    inference functions (QIF) to take the within-cluster correlation into account
    without involving direct estimation of nuisance parameters in the correlation
    matrix. We establish the asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators.
    The finite sample performance of the proposed methods is evaluated through
    simulation studies and a real data analysis.

  • DING JianHua
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2017, 33(4): 433-440. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2017.04.008
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    We propose a new estimation method for the parameters
    of a partial functional linear model when the parameter curve is subject
    to monotone constraint. The proposed estimators are implemented under the
    nonlinear mixed effects model framework. The small sample properties are
    illustrated through a simulation experiment.