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How to solve the inference problem of candidate database web surveys is an urgent problem to be solved in the development of web survey. In order to solve this problem, the inference method of non-probability sampling based on superpopulation pseudo design and the combined sample is proposed. A superpopulation model is firstly built up to construct pseudo weights for a survey sample of the web candidate database. The estimator of the population mean is then computed according to the combined sample composed of the survey sample of the web candidate database and a probability sample. The variance estimator of the population mean estimator is lastly derived according to the variance estimation theory of the superpopulation model. The Bootstrap and Jackknife methods are also used to compute the variance estimator. And all these variance estimation methods are compared. The research results show that the population mean estimator based on superpopulation pseudo design and the combined sample is better, and has higher efficiency than the estimator only using the probability sample and the weighted estimator only using the survey sample of the web candidate database. The variance estimator computed by using the VM1, VM2 and VM3 method are relatively better.
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Under a matrix loss function, we investigate the prediction problem in a finite population with ellipsoidal restriction in this paper. Firstly, a class of homogeneous linear minimax predictors for finite population regression coefficient are obtained. Moreover, it is shown that the linear minimax predictors are admissible in the class of homogeneous linear predictors. Finally, a simulation study and a real data example are used to illustrate our results.
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The Bayesian model are established for the VaR and related risk measurements. The relationship between VaR and other risk measurements including expect shortfall, tail condition expectation and conditional value at risk are discussed. Furthermore, the Bayesian estimates and Bayesian predictors of these risk measurement are derived. Thirdly, the consistency and asymptotic normality in the exponential risk model are proved. Finally, the numerical simulation method is used to verify the convergence rate under different sample sizes.
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In this paper, we consider the two classes of perturbed risk model with stochastic income. We set up the integro-differential equations for the distribution of the maximum surplus before ruin $\mathscr{G}(u;d). The Laplace transforms of $\mathscr{G}(u;d),d\rightarrow+\infty are obtained for exponential premium income. The explicit expressions for the distribution of the maximum surplus before ruin are derived when the two classes claim amount distributions all belong to the rational family.
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We study the linear quadratic optimal stochastic control problem which is jointly driven by Brownian motion and L\'{e}vy processes. We prove that the new affine stochastic differential adjoint equation exists an inverse process by applying the profound section theorem. Applying for the Bellman's principle of quasilinearization and a monotone iterative convergence method, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution of the backward Riccati differential equation. Finally, we prove that the optimal feedback control exists, and the value function is composed of the initial value of the solution of the related backward Riccati differential equation and the related adjoint equation.
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Considering a parameter estimation and variable selection problem in logistic regression, we propose Smooth LASSO and Spline LASSO. When the variables is continuous, using Smooth LASSO can select local constant coefficient in each group. However, in some case, the coefficient might be different and change smoothly. Using Spline Lasso to estimate parameter is more appropriate. In this article, we prove the reliability of the model by theory. Finally using coordinate
descent algorithm to solve the model. Simulations show that the model works very effectively both in feature selection and prediction accuracy.
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Auxiliary population information is often available in finite population inference problems, and the empirical likelihood (EL) approach has been demonstrated to be flexible and useful for such problems. The present paper concerns EL when interest centers on inference for the mean of the baseline distribution under two-sample density ratio models. Although dual EL is a convenient technical tool since it has the same maximum point and maximum likelihood as DRM-based EL, it can not combine such auxiliary information into the likelihood conveniently and may have loss of efficiency. By contrast, the classical EL approach of Qin and
Lawless\ucite{21} does not have this problem and incorporate seamlessly auxiliary information. Based on the EL using auxiliary information and the
dual EL methods, we construct both point and interval estimations and make a careful comparison. Though the point estimation efficiency gain obtained
by the former is not noticeable, we find that they may have different performances in interval estimation. In terms of coverage accuracy, the two intervals are comparable for not or moderate skewed populations, and the EL interval using auxiliary information can be much superior for severely skewed populations.
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Comparisons between two samples with multiple endpoints are often encountered in many real applications and Hotelling's T^2 test (HT) may suffer from loss of efficiency when multivariate normality assumption is violated. To overcome this issue, we propose a group Hotelling's T^2 test (GHT) where HT is conducted within each group after inverse normal transformation and then use the maximum value among combined statistics based on $p$-values at the group-level. Extensive simulations show that GHT is more robust than HT and some other existing procedures. Finally, the applications to plasma-renin activity in serum study and the ageing human brain further demonstrate the performance of GHT.
