章溢, 张先坤, 温利民. 方差相关保费原理下风险保费的经验贝叶斯估计[J]. 应用概率统计, 2018, 34(4): 345-363. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2018.04.002
引用本文: 章溢, 张先坤, 温利民. 方差相关保费原理下风险保费的经验贝叶斯估计[J]. 应用概率统计, 2018, 34(4): 345-363. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2018.04.002
ZHANG Yi, ZHANG Xiankun, WEN Limin. Empirical Bayes Estimators of Risk Premium under Variance Related Premium Principle[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 2018, 34(4): 345-363. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2018.04.002
Citation: ZHANG Yi, ZHANG Xiankun, WEN Limin. Empirical Bayes Estimators of Risk Premium under Variance Related Premium Principle[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 2018, 34(4): 345-363. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2018.04.002

方差相关保费原理下风险保费的经验贝叶斯估计

Empirical Bayes Estimators of Risk Premium under Variance Related Premium Principle

  • 摘要: 方差相关保费原理不仅在实际运用还是在研究领域都是精算学中最为重要的保费原理之一. 本文建立了方差相关保费原理的贝叶斯模型,得到了贝叶斯估计和信度估计. 进而, 讨论了这些估计的统计性质.在多合同数据中, 给出了结构参数的无偏相合估计. 最后,证明了经验贝叶斯估计的渐近最优性.

     

    Abstract: Variance related premium principle is one of the most important principles not only in practice applications but also in research field of actuarial science. In this paper, the Bayesian models are established under variance related premium principle. The Bayesian estimate and credibility estimate of risk premium are derived. Furthermore, some statistical properties of estimators are discussed. In the models with multitude contract data, the unbiased consistent estimates of the structure parameters are proposed. Finally, the empirical Bayes estimator are proved to be asymptotically optimal.

     

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