吴付科, 胡适耕. 连续随机Solow模型的渐近性质[J]. 应用概率统计, 2009, 25(6): 571-577.
引用本文: 吴付科, 胡适耕. 连续随机Solow模型的渐近性质[J]. 应用概率统计, 2009, 25(6): 571-577.
Wu Fuke, Hu Shigeng. Some Asymptotic Properties of the Continuous-TimeStochastic Solow Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 2009, 25(6): 571-577.
Citation: Wu Fuke, Hu Shigeng. Some Asymptotic Properties of the Continuous-TimeStochastic Solow Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 2009, 25(6): 571-577.

连续随机Solow模型的渐近性质

Some Asymptotic Properties of the Continuous-TimeStochastic Solow Model

  • 摘要: 本文重新考虑了随机Solow模型, 在Merton(1975)模型的条件下, 证明出描述模型的随机微分方程的解为正值, 这补充了Merton的结果. 利用随机微分方程平凡解的指数不稳定性并结合Merton的结果, 得出资本与劳动的比率或者呈现稳定(渐近)分布, 或者呈指数增长. 在这些结果中, 劳动力供给与资本积累的波动起着重要作用.

     

    Abstract: The paper reconsiders the continuous-time stochastic Solow model and proves that the solution of the stochastic differential equation that characterizes the model is positive under the conditions of Merton's (1975) model, which fills a gap of his result. By the trivial solution's exponential instability of stochastic differential equations and combining with the previous Merton's result, we find the capital/labor ratio will show the steady-state (or asymptotic) distribution or exponential growth. In these results, variances of population growth and capital accomulation play important roles.

     

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