ZHANG Ting, LI Feng, YANG Yang, LIN Jinguan. Asymptotics for Tail Probabilities of the Sum and Its Maximum of Extended Negatively Dependent and Heavy-Tailed Random Variables[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 2019, 35(1): 39-50. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2019.01.003
Citation: ZHANG Ting, LI Feng, YANG Yang, LIN Jinguan. Asymptotics for Tail Probabilities of the Sum and Its Maximum of Extended Negatively Dependent and Heavy-Tailed Random Variables[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Probability and Statistics, 2019, 35(1): 39-50. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4268.2019.01.003

Asymptotics for Tail Probabilities of the Sum and Its Maximum of Extended Negatively Dependent and Heavy-Tailed Random Variables

  • Let X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n be a sequence of extended negatively dependent random variables with distributions F_1,F_2,\ldots,F_n,respectively. Denote by S_n=X_1+X_2+\cdots+X_n. This paper establishes the asymptotic relationship for the quantities \pr(S_n>x), \pr(\max\X_1,X_2, \ldots,X_n\>x), \pr(\max\S_1,S_2, \ldots,S_n\>x) and \tsm_k=1^n\pr(X_k>x) in the three heavy-tailed cases. Based on this, this paper also investigates the asymptotics for the tail probability of the maximum of randomly weighted sums, and checks its accuracy via Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, as an application to the discrete-time risk model with insurance and financial risks, the asymptotic estimate for the finite-time ruin probability is derived.
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