26 December 2011, Volume 27 Issue 6
    

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  • Li Jinghua,Zhu Shangwei
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 561-568.
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    For a linear simultaneous equation model in
    econometrics, one authoritative definition of identification is
    Fisher's admissible transformation view. It takes parameter
    restriction and covariance restriction together into consideration.
    We show that the covariance restriction on disturbance terms may
    obstruct the exclusion restriction on variables. The exclusion
    restriction on variables is necessary for the test of
    observationally equivalent of equations so that the union
    identification does not hold true.

  • Song Ruili
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 569-578.
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    In this paper, we shall study
    how Revuz measures, energy functional, capacity and Lvy system
    change under Girsanov transform of Hunt processes.

  • Wu Yanlei,Wu Xiaotai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 579-586.
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    In this paper, strong limit theorem of Markov
    chains is discussed by the martingale difference convergence theorem
    in the random environments, by which the strong laws of large number
    of Markov chains are got. Some laws we got broaden the using area of
    some results already have.

  • Liu Limin,Wang Xuantao
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 587-596.
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    This article studies the indifference prices
    and hedging strategies in the presence of proportional transaction
    costs in the incomplete markets. By introducing a new probabilistic
    measure, the indifference price and the corresponding hedging
    strategy can be got in one period model. A probabilistic iterative
    algorithm is constructed for indifference prices of claims in a
    multiperiod incomplete model. And the corresponding pricing measure
    and the hedging strategy can be got. Pricing measure proves a
    martingale measure if the transaction cost is zero.

  • Zou Bin,Xu Zongben,Zhang Hai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 597-613.
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    The study of empirical risk minimization
    (ERM) algorithm associated with least squared loss is one of very
    important issues in statistical learning theory. The main results
    describing the learning rates of ERM regression are almost based on
    independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) inputs. However,
    independence is a very restrictive concept. In this paper we go far
    beyond this classical framework by establishing the bound on the
    learning rates of ERM regression with geometrically -mixing
    inputs. We prove that the ERM regression with geometrically
    -mixing inputs is consistent and the main results obtained in
    this paper are also suited to a large class of Markov chains samples
    and hidden Markov models.

  • Cui Wenquan
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 614-632.
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    Cox model is the most popular model in
    modelling the relationship between a survival outcome and predictive
    covariates, and has been gotten great success about regression
    modelling survival data. It is well known that the maximum partial
    likelihood estimates of regression parameters of Cox model are
    consistent, asymptotically normal and semiparametrically efficient.
    In this paper, based on marginal proportional hazards model and a
    partitioning-based method, we develop an approach to improve
    estimation efficiency of regression parameters in Cox model through
    introducing some other handy or easily collected survival data.
    Practically, for each subject, there frequently exist some other
    possibly-multivariate survival data available in addition to the
    main endpoint of survival times, which are easily collected or
    handy, and belong to the same subject or group as the survival data
    of interest. All the data construct multivariate survival data, and
    the famous WLW model, one important marginal proportional hazards
    model of multivariate survival data proposed in 1989 by Wei, Lin and
    Weissfels (1989), is the model of natural choice to regression
    modelling the aforementioned multivariate survival data. But, as
    pointed out in this paper, by making direct use of the WLW method ,
    the estimation efficiency of regression parameters of interest
    cannot be improved. Based on the partitioning-based method for WLW
    model, an approach to improve the estimation of regression parameter
    of Cox model is proposed and discussed. Simulation studies are
    conducted to investigate behavior of the proposed approach under
    practical sample size. Our results show that it performs well, only
    if the constructed multivariate survival data are correlated between
    the survival data of interest and the introduced survival data, even
    for small to moderate sample size.

  • Xu Changwei,Yan Guojun,Hao Shushuang
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 633-641.
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    In this paper we discuss relation between the
    Martin entrance boundary and Ray-Knight compactification of with
    respect to a honest minimal Q-processes, and mainly obtain the
    bijective mapping between the Martin entrance boundary of minimal
    Q-processes and  in Ray-Knight compactification
    when is finite.

  • Wang Lihong,Gu Chengzu
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 642-656.
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    This paper considers the state space representation
    for the ARFIMA-GARCH model, which combines both the long memory time
    series and the conditional heteroscedastic processes. Although this
    state space representation is infinite dimensional, an exact maximum
    likelihood (ML) estimator based on this kind of representation can
    be computed in a finite number of iterations. Quasi ML estimators
    based on the autoregressive approximation for the likelihood
    function are proposed. Due to the facility of the state space
    representation, these estimation approaches can be easily applied to
    the missing data case. Simulation results of both the non-missing
    data case and the missing data case are reported. A real data
    example from stock market illustrates the proposed method.

  • Hu Shaoyong,Wu Xianyi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2011, 27(6): 657-669.
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    In this paper, we discuss about the high
    degree stochastic order of real-valued random variables. We generate
    new and elegant characters for the th stop-loss order over the
    real-valued risks, based on which the th order both on survival
    function and on distribution function are achieved. Furthermore, we
    study three high degree economic orders that based on different
    utility functions, the relations and properties of these orders are
    obtained.