28 February 2014, Volume 30 Issue 1
    

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  • Liu Yajun, Sun Dongchu
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 1-11.
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( ) Knowledge map Save

    This paper improves the convergence
    of two variance parameters in He and Sun (2000) by applying the
    ancillarity-sufficiency interweaving strategy (ASIS in Yu and Meng
    (2011)) algorithm to the Gibbs sampling steps. The performance of
    the ASIS algorithm is compared with the regular Gibbs sampling by
    the potential scale reduction factor, trace plots and posterior
    estimates. The convergence of one parameter improves greatly, but
    the other one does not have a very significant improvement. However,
    the overall sampling performance has improved greatly since it needs
    much fewer iterations than using regular Gibbs sampling to achieve
    convergence.

  • Xu Fuxia, Dong Yongquan, Wang Zhongzhi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 12-22.
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    We express the group structure of
    sets of a copula , survival copula , the dual of a
    copula , and the co-copula , give the best-possible
    bounds for the last three functions where the value of every
    function is known at a single point. Especially, we find an general
    narrowing effectiveness coefficient  for ,
    compare the values of  where  to
    thoses for  being other values in .

  • Zhou Shizhong, Lan Shiyi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 23-30.
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    Cardy gave a probabilistic estimation
    for the critical percolation clusters crossing a rectangle without
    touching the upper and lower boundaries of the rectangle. Lawler,
    Schramm and Werner obtained similar probabilistic estimation for the
    chordal stochastic Loewner evolution with parameter 6
     crossing a rectangle. In this paper, we generalize
    the latter result to the case .

  • Zhao Jing, Wang Songgui, Wang Lei
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 31-39.
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    In this paper, some new exact tests and
    confidence intervals of variance components in nested error
    component regression model with three random effects are developed
    by using generalized p-value and generalized confidence interval.
    Invariance of these tests and confidence intervals under scale
    transformation is also discussed. It is showed that the generalized
    p-value is feasible and effective to resolve the hypothesis
    testing problems with nuisance parameters. A simulation study is
    conducted to illustrate the powers of these tests and coverage
    probabilities.

  • CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 40-56.
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    In this paper, we consider two linear models with
    missing data, where the covariates are not missing, but response variables are missing
    at random(MAR). The inverse probability weighted imputation is used to impute the missing
    data of response variables, we can obtain the 'complete' data for two linear regression models.
    Then we can construct the empirical log-likelihood ratios of quantile differences of response
    variables. And the difference is that the asymptotic distributions for the empirical
    log-likelihood ratios of quantile differences of response variables are standard  comparing with the results of previous studies. The empirical likelihood confidence
    intervals for quantile difference of response variables is more accurate because the errors
    caused right of the coefficient estimates is reduced.

  • He Daojiang, Xu Kai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 57-71.
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    Reference analysis was first introduced by
    Bernardo (1979) and further developed by Berger and Bernardo (1992a).
    Berger et al.(2001) proposed a new method to obtain exact reference
    priors, which is proved to be one of the most successful methods to
    derive noninformative prior distributions. In this paper, the algorithm
    proposed in Berger et al.(2001) is used to obtain reference priors
    for the growth curve model with general covariance structures.
    Simultaneously, some applications of the corresponding results are
    presented.

  • Zheng Wei, Chai Kechen, Qian Linyi
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 72-83.
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    This essay introduces cohort mortality
    dependence in Lee-Carter modeling to illustrate the dynamic changes
    of mortality. Using the longevity bond designation of Lin and Cox
    (2005) and on the basis of Chinese mortality experience, we analyze
    the pricing result of longevity bond in multivariate Wang risk measure.

  • Pan Dongdong, Li Zhengbang, Zhang Wei, Li Qizhai
    CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 84-103.
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    This paper presents a systematic overview
    of the genome-wide association study. We mainly focus on the
    statistical methods. Some problems and challenges are also
    provided.

  • CHINESE JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATIST. 2014, 30(1): 106-112.
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