具有优先修理权的多状态复杂可修系统的可靠性分析

Reliability Analysis of the Multi-State Complex Repairable System with Priority Repair Discipline

  • 摘要: 本文研究具有优先修理权的多状态复杂可修系统的可靠性问题.该系统由L1和L2两类部件构成,其中L1由n个不同的部件串联构成,而L2只有一个部件.如果L1中的任何一个部件发生故障,系统就会发生故障,并需要优先修理.如果L2中的部件发生故障,则系统不会完全故障,但会降低工作效率.本文假设系统的两类部件的工作时间服从不同的指数分布,而修理工的修理时间服从一般分布.首先,通过概率分析法、拉普拉斯变换法和Tauber定理给出稳态下系统的可靠性指标.接着,利用蒙特卡罗仿真方法来估计系统瞬时可靠性指标,并通过特殊情况的数值结果来验证得出结论的正确性.在此基础上,分析系统相关指标随系统参数变化的情况,并进一步对系统可靠度和MTTFF值关于参数的敏感性进行分析.同时,本文构建了系统单位时间的预期利润函数,为系统可靠性设计者和决策者提供理论支持和参考.

     

    Abstract: This paper considers a multi-state complex repairable system with priority repair discipline, which includes two classes of components, denoted by L1 and L2. L1 is composed of n different types of components in series, whereas L2 contains only one component. The system fails, if the component in L1 fails. If the component in L2 fails, it does not lead to a complete failure, but reduces the effciency of the system. It is assumed that the working time to the two types of components follows different exponential distribution, while the repair time of the repairman follows a general distribution. We derive the system's main steady-state reliability indices using probability analysis, the Laplace transform method, and Tauber's theorem. The instantaneous reliability indices of the system are then estimated by applying Monte Carlo simulation, and the numerical results of special cases verify the correctness of the conclusion. On this basis, this paper also investigates the influence of system parameters on system reliability measures. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the instantaneous reliability and MTTFF value to each parameter is analyzed, and the system's expected profit function per unit time is developed, which provides theoretical support and reference for system reliability designers and decision makers.

     

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