非负组变量选择及其在股指跟踪中的研究

Nonnegative Group Lasso on Modified Block-Wise Coordinate Decent Algorithm with an Application in Index Tracking

  • 摘要: 指数跟踪是一种被动的投资组合管理策略,通过真实或虚拟指数的表现来实现。然而,完全复制(即考虑指数的所有成分股)往往会受到持仓量小、流动性差和交易成本高的影响。因此,人们更倾向于购买稀疏的投资组合。此外,有学者指出了资产组合中的趋同现象,这表明指数跟踪问题往往包含群体结构和稀疏性。由于现有研究缺乏对指数跟踪中群体选择的研究,本文提出了一种具有非负约束的高维组选择方法。我们设计了一种改进的分块坐标下降算法来求解该模型。本文还详细讨论了估计量偏度和MSE的上界,以及变量选择一致性。为了测试该模型的表现,我们将其应用于上证50的指数跟踪问题。通过选择约10只股票,结果表明,在追踪误差准则下,非负组lasso优于非负lasso。

     

    Abstract: Index tracking is known to be a passive portfolio management strategy by replicating the performance of a real or virtual index. However, the full replication, which considers all the asserts consisted of the index, often suffers from small and illiquid positions and large transaction costs. Thus, it is preferred to purchase sparse portfolios. Besides, existing literatures pointed out the phenomenon of the co-movement in assert returns, indicating that the index tracking problems possibly contain group structures together with sparsity. Based on the consideration of the grouping effects and sparsity in index tracking problems, this paper proposes a grouping sparse index tracking model with nonnegative restrictions. We derive a modified version of coordinate decent algorithm for solving the model. The asymptotic properties are also discussed in detail. To show the effciency of the model, we apply it into the constrained index tracking problem in Shanghai stock market, i.e. tracking SSE 50 Index. By selecting about 10 stocks, the result shows that nonnegative group lasso outperforms nonnegative lasso in assert allocation.

     

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