贝叶斯分层分位数因子模型及其应用

Bayesian Hierarchical Quantile Factor Model and Its Application

  • 摘要: 因子分析旨在利用变量间的相关性提取公共因子, 用以验证显变量与潜变量之间的数量关系. 传统的因子模型侧重于对数据均值结构的推断, 但是在某些特定情况下, 研究不仅涉及均值中潜在因子的影响, 还涉及由分位数表示的整个响应分布的影响. 因此, 本文将分位数回归和因子模型相结合,利用广义非对称的 Laplace 分布的混合形式, 在贝叶斯框架下构建了分层分位数因子模型 (QFMGAL),并给出基于 Metropolis-Hastings 采样的 MCMC 算法. 模拟和实例分析表明: 贝叶斯分层分位数因子分析方法对异常值和极端分位数具有鲁棒性; 同时, 该方法允许因子载荷和公共因子随分位数变化, 因而这些公共因子在实际应用中具有更现实的理论解释.

     

    Abstract: Factor analysis aims to utilize the correlations between variables to extract common factors, which are used to verify the quantitative relationship between manifest variables and latent variables. Traditional factor models focus on inferring the mean structure of the data. However, in certain specific scenarios, research not only involves the impact of latent factors on the mean but also the influence of the entire response distribution represented by quantiles. Therefore, this paper combines quantile regression with factor models, utilizing a mixture of generalized asymmetric Laplace distributions, to construct a hierarchical quantile factor model (denoted as (QFMGAL)) within a Bayesian framework, and presents an MCMC algorithm based on Metropolis-Hastings sampling. Simulation and case studies demonstrate that the Bayesian hierarchical quantile factor analysis method exhibits robustness against outliers and extreme quantiles. Simultaneously, this method allows factor loadings and common factors to vary with quantiles, thereby providing these common factors with more realistic theoretical interpretations in practical applications.

     

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