搜索型随机格斗命中次数的分布与毁伤概率

The Distribution of the Hit Times and the Kill Probability in a Stochastic Duel with Searching

  • 摘要: 本文研究了搜索型随机格斗模型,采用在时间0,t内射击命中目标次数的概率分布与毁伤概率指标来评定射击效果.文章对射击时间间隔随机变量服从的分布采用两种假设:指数分布与一般分布.对指数分布的假设,文章导出的结果比较完善;对一般分布的假设,文章导出了计算射击命中次数概率分布的计算公式.

     

    Abstract: The paper studies the model of a stochastic duel with searching by using conditional stochastic processes and selects the probability distribution of the hit times and the kill probability in the time 0, tas indexes to evaluate shot effects. Two suppositions are adopted to the distributions of the random variables of shot time intervals-an exponential distribution and an arbitrary distribution. The results deduced in the condition of the exponential distribution are satisfactory and for the secondary assumption, the paper puts forward the formula to calculate the distribution of hit times.

     

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