一种新预报方法的探索——预报拟合法

A NEW METHOD OF FORECASTING FITTING

  • 摘要: 在研究建筑材料的耐久性问题时,发现与数据拟合得较好的函数形式,其预报效果却未必较好。针对这样的情况,作者提出了一种新的拟合思想,以及与这种思想相应的一种拟合方法——预报拟合法。通过一些具体实例,将这种方法与最小二乘法作对比,发现它有较好的预报效果。

     

    Abstract: In the study of the durability of building materials, find that the forecasting results obtained from even very satisfied fitting in some chosen function, may not be valid. To solve this problem, the author suggest a now fitting idea as well as the method based on it —— a method of forecasting fitting. When apply this method to some examples, more satisfactory results can be obtained in comparison with that of the method of least square.

     

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