依赖于年龄的冲击模型

FAILURE DISTRIBUTIONS OF GENERALIZED SHOCK MODELS AND THEIR APPLICATION

  • 摘要: 本文讨论更一般化的冲击模型。时间t时,冲击次数为k的条件下,系统仍未失效的概率为\barP_k(t),它不仅依赖于冲击次数,还依赖于时间t。从而系统的生存概率为: \vecH(t)=\sum_k=0^\infty \barP_k(t) P\N(t)=K\。本文对一般Poisson冲击过程以及具有独立、平稳、非负增量性的连续磨损过程,证明了H对于\barP_k(t)的分布类的继承性,即在一些正则条件下,当\barP_k(t)属于二维 IFR(NBU)时,H属于IFR(NBU),及当\barP_k(t)对任意t, 对k属于IFRA时,H属于IFRA。最后给出了一些应用。

     

    Abstract: A generalized shock model is studied. The probability \barP_k(t) of surviving k shocks at time t depends not only on k, but also on the age of the system. So the survival probability can be written as: \barH(s)=\sum_k=0^\infty \barP_k(t) P\N(t)=k\. For generalized Poisson shock process and the continuous wear process with stationary independent nonnegative increments, we studied some appropriate conditions under which the survival probabilities are IFR, IFRA, NBU, NBUE respectively. For instance under the condition that \barP_k(t) is bivariate IFRNBU) and other conditions, H is IFRNBU). We give some applications of the theory.

     

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