连续随机Solow模型的渐近性质
Some Asymptotic Properties of the Continuous-TimeStochastic Solow Model
-
摘要: 本文重新考虑了随机Solow模型, 在Merton(1975)模型的条件下, 证明出描述模型的随机微分方程的解为正值, 这补充了Merton的结果. 利用随机微分方程平凡解的指数不稳定性并结合Merton的结果, 得出资本与劳动的比率或者呈现稳定(渐近)分布, 或者呈指数增长. 在这些结果中, 劳动力供给与资本积累的波动起着重要作用.Abstract: The paper reconsiders the continuous-time stochastic Solow model and proves that the solution of the stochastic differential equation that characterizes the model is positive under the conditions of Merton's (1975) model, which fills a gap of his result. By the trivial solution's exponential instability of stochastic differential equations and combining with the previous Merton's result, we find the capital/labor ratio will show the steady-state (or asymptotic) distribution or exponential growth. In these results, variances of population growth and capital accomulation play important roles.