异方差线性模型中的Bayes和经验Bayes方差估计

BAYES AND EMPIRICAL BAYES VARIANCE ESTIMATORS IN HETEROSCEDASTIC LINEAR MODELS

  • 摘要: 本文给出异方差线性模型中误差方差的 Bayes和经验 Bayes估计。我们首先研究在每一个试验点只有少量重复,而总观察数N相当大的情况。并导出其Bayes估计,讨论其某些性质。同时还给出经验Bayes估计及其偏差和方差的渐近展开式。基于这些展开式,在N很大时证明了经验Bayes估计要比常用方差估计(组内样本方差)有更小的均方误差。

     

    Abstract: Bayes and empirical Bayes estimators for the estimation of error variances in a heteroscedastic linear model are proposed. We concentrate primarily on the situation in which only a few replicates are available at each design point but the total number of observations N is relatively large. Some properties of the Bayes estimators are discussed. Asymptotic expansions of the bias and variance of the empirical Bayes estimators are also given. Based on these expansions, the empirical Bayes estimator is shown to have smaller mean squared error than the customary variance estimator, i. e., the within group sample variance, if N is large.

     

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