基于监管阈值和机制转换的扩散模型的长期平均收益 最大化

Long-Run Average Reward Maximization of A Regulated Regime-Switching Diffusion Model

  • 摘要: 本文研究了偿付能力约束和市场机制切换环境下的保险盈余管理问题. 我们建立了一个联合优化框架以协调再保险, 投资和分红策略, 旨在最大化长期平均收益. 与现有文 献显著不同的是, 我们引入了具体的监管阈值约束: 保险公司仅在盈余超过特定监管阈值时才 被允许进行风险投资和分红. 这种硬性边界约束与高维机制切换环境的耦合, 导致 HamiltonJacobi-Bellman 方程具有高度的非线性和非光滑性. 由于解析求解面临巨大挑战, 我们构建了 基于马尔可夫链逼近的理论框架, 并采用深度神经网络算法高效处理由监管阈值引起的值函 数不规则性. 我们建立了逼近序列的收敛性, 并证明了近似值函数收敛于真实值函数. 最后, 通过数值算例验证了该方法的有效性, 并分析了最优策略的表现

     

    Abstract: This paper investigates insurance surplus management under strict regulatory constraints and market regime switching. The objective is to maximize the long-run average reward in a regulated regime-switching diffusion model. We establish a joint optimization framework to coordinate reinsurance, investment, and dividend strategies. Distinct from existing literature, we introduce specific regulatory threshold constraints, under which risky investment and dividend distribution are permitted only when the surplus exceeds minimum capital requirement. The coupling of these hard boundary constraints with the high-dimensional regime-switching environment leads to high nonlinearity and non-smoothness in the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations. This poses significant challenges for analytical derivations, thus we construct a theoretical framework based on Markov chain approximation, and we employ a deep neural network algorithm to efficiently handle the irregularity of the value function caused by regulatory thresholds. We establish the convergence of the approximating sequences to the risk model, as well as the approximate value function converges to the true value function. Finally, numerical examples validate the effectiveness of our method and analyze the performance of optimal strategies

     

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